Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 3.650937 4.295396 5.042802 5.979109 7.128255 8.502302 10.284160
2025-01-05 2.644615 3.423572 4.437189 5.874810 7.897462 10.697433 14.966930
2025-01-12 2.207361 3.039620 4.207652 6.009824 8.800461 13.098442 20.512198
2025-01-19 1.851109 2.669269 3.884940 5.886655 9.230688 14.848416 25.600285
2025-01-26 1.705871 2.568306 3.920817 6.292012 10.560974 18.390746 35.094022
2025-02-02 1.562910 2.440697 3.882299 6.551536 11.687295 21.890618 45.993546
2025-02-09 1.453723 2.346794 3.876768 6.857214 12.964422 26.074764 60.365383
2025-02-16 1.332998 2.213377 3.777073 6.960392 13.855895 29.728291 75.357541
2025-02-23 1.235717 2.106166 3.705252 7.099148 14.853832 33.967307 94.405170
2025-03-02 1.127670 1.964488 3.546052 7.024020 15.345715 37.128473 112.198112
2025-03-09 1.055795 1.880838 3.486322 7.149531 16.350579 42.039796 139.374850
2025-03-16 0.973860 1.767698 3.350942 7.078712 16.842624 45.691651 164.751424
2025-03-23 0.895360 1.663887 3.244993 7.119954 17.834534 51.944572 210.025182
2025-03-30 0.810404 1.538870 3.081145 7.005105 18.427180 57.512919 260.961990
2025-04-06 0.757695 1.472501 3.033434 7.170639 19.919793 67.269966 349.823796
2025-04-13 0.690927 1.367023 2.879408 7.018954 20.368927 73.372701 428.393061
2025-04-20 0.670725 1.360116 2.954413 7.518765 23.220459 91.908788 639.968254
2025-04-27 0.641578 1.328983 2.965367 7.839430 25.605573 110.579152 913.574686
2025-05-04 0.617367 1.305808 2.992170 8.217768 28.418511 134.453138 1340.676076
2025-05-11 0.583888 1.256390 2.943116 8.345625 30.299240 155.249578 1839.578118
2025-05-18 0.555258 1.215129 2.909289 8.517689 32.488911 180.854172 2586.605702
2025-05-25 0.519304 1.151599 2.805121 8.424510 33.440022 199.326512 3354.102031
2025-06-01 0.495382 1.115566 2.772582 8.580200 35.716312 231.411569 4794.121333